Dual-Use Research — A Pandora’s Box?

By Bill Lee

Scientists in Japan are desperate for research funds. Is the government stepping in to try to bribe scientists at universities to conduct research for military purposes?

Post-war Japanese scientists have mostly been adamant about rejecting any military-related research, particularly because of scientists’ cooperation with the military in the Second World War. In 1950 and 1967, the Science Council of Japan, the main organization representing scientists in Japan, issued statements declaring that academic research must never be conducted for “purposes of war” or “military purposes.” But with shrinking university and funding agency budgets, scientists may be tempted to change their stance.

In step Prime Minister Abe and the Ministry of Defense. Abe wants to bolster Japan’s military force, and military research is part of that. The government established the Acquisitions, Technology and Logistics Agency (ATLA) in 2015 to unify the development and procurement of Self-Defense Force equipment into one body. ATLA is offering funds to universities for dual-use technology research. Japan is strong in materials science, and an example of ATLA’s dual-use funding is research at Toyohashi University of Technology into filters for gas masks that can also be used for disaster prevention measures at chemical plants. ATLA’s budget for academic funding started out at a modest 300 million yen, increased to 600 million yen in fiscal 2016, and then ballooned to 11 billion yen in fiscal 2017, an 18-fold increase over the previous year’s budget. Scientific research is of course crucial for the development of military systems. As a case in point, the seemingly benign field of geophysics could be very important. For example, research into wave propulsion in water could be vital for technology to detect submarines, and research into gravitational fields could also help make missiles more accurate since their descent towards their targets is affected by the gravitational field in a particular geographic region.

The Science Council of Japan recently released a draft statement warning universities about conducting research for potential military purposes. But the statement has no binding power, and some scientists feel research for “self-defense” purposes is acceptable. In their quest for truth, will scientists be opening up a Pandora’s box?

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Photo by Mike Morash via Flickr

Diplomat’s diplomat

By Bill Lee

Japan recently decided to withdraw its PKO contingent from Sudan because of the deteriorating security situation there. Japan’s first PKO personnel were sent to Angola and Cambodia in 1992, but the initial destination for a Japanese PKO could have been Lebanon way back in 1958. At that time, Lebanon was in crisis because of the conflict between Christians and Muslims, and the United States actually landed thousands of its troops in Lebanon to prop up the pro-Western government. The situation became very tense as troops from the Soviet Union were also sent into the region to support the opposition and moves by Syria and Egypt, Soviet clients. The situation could have escalated into World War III. Fortunately, the United Nations intervened to resolve the stand-off.

Important to the UN’s efforts were contributions by the Japanese delegation, which drafted a proposal for resolving the crisis. The plan called for the establishment of a cordon sanitaire to separate the contending parties. The idea for the cordon sanitaire was accepted, and in gratitude, then-UN Secretary General Dag Hammarskjold asked Koto Matsudaira, the head of the Japanese UN mission, to have Japan send personnel to monitor the truce corridor. Believing it a great honor for Japan, Matsudaira quickly accepted the request. However, as soon as the request reached Foreign Ministry headquarters in Tokyo, officials realized that the dispatch of SDF personnel would be considered a violation of the Constitution, and the request was rejected. Moreover, Japanese newspapers got hold of the story and harshly criticized Matsudaira. In the end, Matsudaira was scorned by the government and the media as an unredeemed rightist.

Ironically, Matsudaira was one of Japan’s ablest diplomats ever. A very international (and rich) man, he received a doctorate from a French university at the end of the 1920s, and developed good ties with chateaux in Bordeaux. Matsudaira was the ambassador who started the tradition of grand dinner parties hosted by Japan’s UN mission in New York. At that time (1958), Japan was vying to become a nonpermanent member of the UN Security Council for the first time. The competition was very stiff, with Yugoslavia expected to get the seat. However, skilled at election campaigning, Matsudaira, who had briefly quit MOFA and run in a Lower House election in Tokyo, won votes, partly through his dinner parties. Making sure his guests were indulged with fine wines from Bordeaux, Matsudaira would put original Hiroshige ukiyo-e paintings under the napkins of the wives of the invited UN ambassadors from other countries. When they looked under their napkins and saw the beautiful prints, the wives would squeal with delight, and then, presumably urge their husbands to vote for Japan. Apparently, it worked, for Japan succeeded in getting voted onto the Security Council. Naturally, Matsudaira had other talents, such as his ability in French and Spanish, which helped him get votes from Francophone Africa and Latin America. Matsudaira was the ideal international diplomat, but he ended up rather scorned by Japan — he said he had friends only outside of Japan — and he was also critical of Japanese diplomats, whom he accused of lacking imagination, a trait that continues to this day. Matsudaira later became Japan’s ambassador to India and Bhutan.

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Photo by United Nations via Flickr

Asian Waters – The Timeless Yangtze River

                      by David Parmer/Tokyo

China’s Long River (Cheng Jiang) is better known to the rest of the world as the Yangtze. It is the third longest river in the world, and the longest river in Asia. Like the Ganges and the Mekong you can’t read about Asian history, economics or politics without coming across a mention, or several mentions of the Yangtze.

The river originates on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau and flows 6300km to the East China Sea. It flows through nine of China’s provinces and is considered the boundary between North China and South China.

In 208 AD the Battle of Red Cliffs was fought on the Yangtze southwest of Wuhan, preventing the warlord Cao Cao from capturing South China. Several centuries later in 1949, the Yangtze played another key role in China’s history. On April 20th of that year, Communist forces crossed the Long River, sealing the fate of the Nationalist forces under Chaing Kai-shek and setting the stage for the final liberation of all of China.

The Chinese use the river for many purposes from simple drinking water to irrigation, sanitation, transportation and Industry. Upriver, industry makes use of the river water, while down near where it joins the sea it provides irrigation for the rich farmlands so important to China’s agriculture. The river area accounts for 70% of China’s rice production and 70% of her fishery production.

Besides being a major transportation artery, the river also supports a vibrant tourism industry. Steamers journey upriver to Chongqing passing the immense Three Gorges Dam in Hubei province, and magnificent river scenery welcomes visitors at every turn.

The Yangtze ecosystem is home to 350 species of fish as well as the Finless Porpoise and the Chinese Alligator, while at the far end of the river near Chongqing we can find the habitat of China’s most famous mammals, the giant pandas.

As with any developed country, China must deal with the problem of industrial pollution. China is acting to push back harder against polluters and has installed 52 water quality monitoring stations along the river. The government has also banned the construction of chemical zones within one kilometer of the river. China has also recruited people to act as river chiefs to report and control pollution and to promote ecological restoration. E-commerce giant Alibaba also joined forces with several environmental organizations to protect and promote safe water in China. These groups include the AlibabaFoundation, Friends of Nature, Institute of Public and Environmental Affairs, Green Hunan, and Beijing Green Foundation.

China’s Long River can easily be considered one of its greatest assets after her people. The proper management and development of this treasure will ensure the river keeps giving is benefits for centuries to come.

Photo: Jialiang Gao via flickr

Uber: How The Mighty Have Fallen

                   by David Parmer/Tokyo

Sometimes it seems poor UBER just can’t catch a break. Bad news after bad news seems to head their way. The ride-hailing service just got banned from the country of Italy. A judge citing unfair competition ruled against the west-coast company. So no Roman holiday for UBER.

UBER is not doing so good at home either. Employee Susan Fowler has charged UBER with allowing sexual harassment to exist and not taking proper action, citing her own alleged sexual harassment as an example.

A “bro” culture that dismisses a visit to a Korean karaoke club cum escort service as old news seems to be out of touch with the 21st century. Add to this a lawsuit over technology for autonomous vehicles, i.e. self-driving cars where Waymo claims UBER is using stolen tech, and the pressure gets heavier.

Then there is this: UBER’s founder Travis Kalanick who was caught on camera berating an UBER driver and then having to make a public apology. With all of the above one might think that Mr. Kalanick might be on his way out and looking for the NEXT thing. But no, apparently something called a dual-class share structure lets the founder have more votes than other board members. So Mr. Kalanick is going nowhere soon.

You might also ask what lesson can be learned from the ongoing UBER saga. And it seems to be this–if you have a lock on the newest development in tech, you can be a jerk and run your company any way you wish, and at the end of the day wave your index finger and shout “We’re #1!” For a while.

Italy bans UBER: The Verge

UBER to investigate sexual  harassment C/NET

Why UBER won’t fire its CEO backchannel

Photo: J.D. Lasica via flickr

 

What’s in a word?

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By Bill Lee

If you’re a soldier and you hear automatic-weapon and mortar fire very close by, do you say that you heard “fighting” or “armed conflict”? Japanese Self-Defense Force members participating in a UN PKO in Sudan in July last year faced that question. Since they were right next to the battlefield, and naturally pretty excited, they called it “hageshii sento” (fierce fighting). But SDF Joint Staff officers and the Abe administration wanted to call it “armed conflict.” The reason is because SDF personnel sent abroad cannot be in an active battle zone; if they are, it’s a violation of the Constitution. Hence the government insisted on the anodyne phrase “armed conflict.”

But the story gets murkier. The SDF soldiers had been writing daily logs in Sudan and sending them to Tokyo. The logs apparently had some raw, first-hand accounts of the actual situation in Sudan, where more than 200 people were killed in Juba last July. It was the kind of information that couldn’t get out; if it did, the government would be forced to withdraw the mission. Aware of their existence, a journalist requested access to the logs. The SDF responded that they had “completely discarded” the logs. It’s inconceivable that they would. Inevitable talk of a “cover-up” followed.

Our favorite magnet for controversy, Defense Minister Tomomi Inada — is there a political controversy in Japan she’s not a part of? — vowed to launch an investigation. In the end, the government decided to withdraw the mission from Sudan, ostensibly because the SDF engineering unit there had completed its duties. The SDF has had to tie itself in knots to avoid violating the war-renouncing Constitution, including, as the example above shows, in its use of language. Another tortured misrepresentation: calling what are clearly the MSDF’s light aircraft carriers “helicopter destroyers.”  By the way, know when the first Japanese UN PKO could have been? In 1958, during the Lebanon crisis. It’s an interesting story why Japan couldn’t follow through on then UN Secretary-General Dag Hammarskjold’s request. If it had, Japan’s international diplomacy may have taken a very different turn. I’ll look at this story in a future post.

Photo by UNMISS via Flickr

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How’s that working out? China’s bold urbanization plan

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by Bill Lee

A young girl stands as a look-out for the police. “They’re coming,” she shouts to her father, Xiang Qingdang. Xiang owns a restaurant in the Chenzhai district in the typically large central Chinese city of Zhengzhou. He is a so-called “migrant” worker, although he has lived in Zhengzhou for 30 years. The authorities are chasing out the rural migrant workers like Xiang from the Chenzhai district, which is where the migrant workers are allowed to live, before they demolish the district as part of China’s National New-type Urbanization Plan.

Launched in 2014, the Plan looks brilliant on paper. Hoping to stimulate the economy, the government wants 100 million migrant workers to become an engine for generating domestic demand. Creating domestic demand comes from urbanization. The idea is that making this sea of workers full-fledged urban residents will raise their incomes through better jobs and unleash their consumption potential. Urbanization will spark investment in urban infrastructure, thus stimulating the economy. It looks very rational, and only a nation like China, with its strong capability for social engineering, could pull it off.

But can it resettle 100 million people away from the mega-cities like Zhengzhou or Shanghai to small- and medium-sized cities scattered around central China? Migrant workers living in Chenzhai have no choice. Since their dwellings will be razed, they have three choices: go back to their villages, resettle in one of the new cities, or try to stay in Zhengzhou. According to an NHK documentary aired last year, each choice poses difficulties. People like Xiang Qingdang haven’t been back to their villages in decades; they neither want to live there nor will they be very well-received. Resettling in a new city is a Catch-22-type dilemma: Xiang wants to open a restaurant in a nearby newly developed city but there are no people there now; people won’t move into the new city unless there are amenities like restaurants. And the hukou (household registration) system makes it very difficult for migrant workers to receive official permission to remain in the mega-cities.

It’s a bold plan that looks as if it could solve many of China’s problems. But as seen from the worldwide refugee crisis and, in Japan’s case, the resettlement of disaster victims, moving large masses of people is always fraught with unforeseen problems. Will China succeed where others haven’t?

Photo of Ding Zhou by Clarence kk via Flickr

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Sweden to Revive Draft for Both Men and Women

                 by David Parmer/Tokyo

Well, if you are 18 years old and Swedish, next year you may be wearing camouflage–and not as a fashion item. The government of Sweden has announced that it will re-introduce universal conscription for men and women starting on January 1, 2018.

The draft is coming back after a seven year suspension for two reasons. The first is simply a manpower shortage. The jobs in the all-volunteer force are not being filled. The second is regional worries that Russia has gotten more aggressive toward its neighbors, and will continue to do so. Analysts cite Russian actions in Crimea and Ukraine as drivers of this anxiety.

One benefit of universal conscription besides simply filling empty slots is to create a sense of patriotism among younger citizens.One good example of this is Singapore which has ethnic diversity as its core, but requires members of all communities to serve. Giving up a year of one’s life to serve one’s country doesn’t seem unfair, and may have long-term benefits for Sweden.

Sweden MOD announcement

Photo: Sweden MOD

 

ASEAN World Heritage Sites – Luang Prabang, Laos

Luang Prabang, the former royal capital of Laos has seen its share of history and conflict. Governments and armies have come and gone, yet one of ASEAN’s and Asia’s premier cultural and tourist destinations remains. Laos was again opened to tourism in 1989, and this saw the revival of this sleepy northern provincial capital located on the confluence of the Nam Kahan and Mekong rivers.

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In 1995, Luang Prabang was designated an UNESCO World Heritage Site.The UNESCO website gives the most concise reason for the selection:

Luang Prabang is an outstanding example of the fusion of traditional architecture and Lao urban structures with those built by the European colonial authorities in the 19th and 20th centuries. Its unique, remarkably well-preserved townscape illustrates a key stage in the blending of these two distinct cultural traditions.

 

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The charm of the mixed architecture together with the natural beauty of tropical Laos and the many Buddhist temples (33) makes Luang Prabang a tourist magnet. Travel by air is available from Thailand and Vietnam while boat and bus transport is available for the more adventurous travellers. Luang Prabang seems to have everything one could ask for except international fast food chains–something than many will find a welcome change.

UNESCO World Heritage Luang Prabang

Luang Prabang photos via wikipedia

Top Photo: by Paul via flickr

The S-400 Triumf–Russia’s “Killer App”

                            by David Parmer/Tokyo

Are you having a busy week? OK, here is the bottom line of this article to save you time reading the whole thing. Bottom line: if it flies, Russia’s S-400 Triumf air defense missile system can knock it out of the sky.

The S-400 Triumf (NATO designation SA-21 Growler) can track 300 targets, has a range of 400 km, and its missiles can reach an altitude of 30km. A battery of S-400 has eight launchers, a control center, radar and a basic load of 16 missiles.

The S-400 is designed to eliminate all sorts of aerial targets including:

  • Bombers
  • AWACS
  • U2
  • Advanced generation fighters
  • Cruise missiles
  • Ballistic missiles

Moreover, the S-400 can detect stealth and non-stealth aircraft at extended ranges. The Triumf can also function as part of an integrated air defense system, (IADS) a system that nullifies, to a certain extent, the opponent’s stealth technology and jamming capabilities.

The S-400 is not a “new” system. It was first rolled out by Russia in 2007 and is now in operation in Russia as well as being deployed in Syria. As a matter of course, Russia has supplied its own needs before turning to export inquiries. Indeed, there seems to be no shortage of potential buyers including Turkey and Vietnam among others.

India, for one is eager to get its hands on the S-400; it plans to place three systems in its western region and two systems in its eastern region. There was much fanfare in October 2016 over the signing of an S-400 arms deal with Russia, but no delivery date has been announced publicly.

The PRC is also a prime customer for the S-400 system. A report in Sputnik News on 15 February 2017 quotes Rostec State Corporation as saying China’s systems are now under production. This is good news for China, but worrisome for China’s potential opponents.The S-400 will not only let China guard its own airspace, (A2/AD) but also extend its coverage to airspace over Taiwan and the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands.

The S-400 system isn’t new, but all reports suggest it is one of Russia’s best “killer apps” when it comes to weapons systems and global arms sales.

Photo: Russian S-400 Missile System via Financial Express

US to Iran: There’s A New Marshal in Town

                            by David Parmer

In US Western movies when a new law officer comes to clean up a corrupt town or replace a weak response to crime with a strong one, and deal with the “bad hombres,” it is said “There’s a new Marshal in town.”

“Iran is playing with fire–they don’t appreciate how ‘kind’ President Obama was to them. Not me! “ (Donald Trump, Twitter February 3, 2017)

When asked whether his administration’s tough new posture could mean a military strike, Trump answered, “Nothing’s off the table.” (Washington Post, February 2, 2017)

And just a day earlier, on February 1, Mr. Trump’s National Security Advisor, Michael Flyn made a special announcement, telling the world that Iran is “on notice” after conducting a ballistic missile test on January 29th.

So there is no doubt about the message from Washington. It came loud and clear: There is a new marshal in town. And from now on, things will be different vis-a-vis Iran. Much different.

During the election and after the election, candidate Trump and then President Trump sent out a strong anti-Iran message. Trump tweeted about the Iran nuclear deal, and how Washington had foolishly released Iran’s billions.

Israel and Saudi Arabia were on the same page, criticizing the nuclear deal that had been hammered out after long and hard negotiations by Iran and the international community.

The Iranians were having none of it. Iran’s VON news agency reported on February 7 that Iran’s Supreme Leader Seyyed Ali Khameni when addressing Iran Air Force members prior to the 38th anniversary of the Islamic revolution stated: “Iranians are not afraid of threats.”

Al Jazeera reported on February 7,  that during the same speech, the Supreme Leader went on to say:

“We are thankful to this gentleman … he showed the real face of America,” Khamenei said in a speech to military officers in Tehran on Tuesday.

“[It was] what we have said for more than 30 years – that there is political, economic, moral and social corruption in the ruling system of the US. This gentleman came and brought it out into the open in the election and after the election.”

But Khameni didn’t stop there, he responded to Trump’s tweet about being kind by saying that the former (Obama) administration was responsible for the creation of Daesh and the problems in Iraq and Iran.

On February 10 IRNA News reported that, Iran’s Major General Yahya Rahmin Safavi, former commander of the Revolutionary Guards and advisor to Khameni said that the “triangle of evil” (US, UK, Israel) could not pose any threat against Iran.

So the gauntlet has been thrown down. A war of words in ongoing. The question now is: How will these words turn into action? One answer is more sanctions from the US against persons and institutions of the Islamic Republic. Another response might be covert action against Iran’s proxies in the region.

One worrying scenario would be armed confrontation between US and Iran naval or air forces in the region. In January 2016 two US navy boats were seized by Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, and the world saw pictures of American sailors in surrender mode before the Revolutionary Guard. This incident is only a year old and certainly fresh in the minds of many who saw the US diplomatic response as weak. Given the current mindset in Washington regarding Iran, one could expect a strong, forceful and decisive military response should anything of a similar nature take place.

There has been no “dialing back” of rhetoric on either side, and seemingly no intention on Washington’s part to do so. So tensions will remain high and the possibility for military action is a real probability. 

Photo:kate gabrielle via flickr (Creative Commons)