China’s Belt and Road Links Old Routes and New Opportunities

                         by David Parmer / Tokyo

This year RG21 will be doing a series of articles on the Belt and Road Initiative that revives the old Silk Road both on land and sea and not only brings East and West closer, but also promises benefits to those it touches along the way.

 In 2017 China marked four years of its Belt and Road Initiative proposed by China’s President Xi Jinping in 2013.The original concept was “Silk Road Economic Belt” and “21st Century Maritime Road.” This project has been described as the largest overseas investment project launched by a country, with $900 billion earmarked for development. Financing for the project involves the Asian Infrastructure Bank and financial institutions in 68 countries including The Work Bank, The Asian Development Bank, The BRICS New Development Bank and the Eurasian Development Bank as well as a number of other sovereign wealth funds and institutions.

In 2017 China hosted the Belt and Road Forum For International Cooperation in Beijing on May 14-15. Representatives from 130 countries and 70 international organizations attended. Topics covered included:

  • Infrastructure
  • Energy and natural resources
  • Production
  • Project study

In our next article we will be looking at the China Railway Express, or CR Express that operates transcontinental cargo trains from places like Yiwu in China all the way to Spain.

If you have any thoughts on the Silk Road or this project, please share them with us.

Photo: Sathish J via flickr

Special Counsel Robert S. Mueller and The Russia Investigation

                     by David Parmer / Tokyo

Did Russia interfere in the 2016 U.S. elections? Did Donald Trump’s people collude with Russia? How involved is the Trump empire with Russian money? There is every likelihood that we will get answers to these and many more questions in 2018. The answers will come from the US Department of Justice’s investigation into Russian meddling chaired by Special Counsel Robert S. Mueller.

                           Mueller’s Background

Mr. Mueller was the sixth director of the FBI (2001-2013). He is a Republican appointed by Republican President George W. Bush. (Mueller is considered to be a public servant of outstanding ability and impeccable character, and this fact is widely recognized by both Democrats and Republicans.) His initial 10-year term was extended another two years by President Barack Obama.

After graduating from Princeton University Mueller joined the US Marine Corps rising to the rank of captain and being decorated for valor while serving in Viet Nam where he sustained wounds in combat. He graduated from the University of Virginia law school in 1973 and began a career of government service for 12 years where he was US Attorney and Deputy Attorney General.

In 2001 he was nominated by President George W. Bush for the post of Director of the FBI. Shortly after assuming office the United States was attacked by Saudi terrorists who flew hijacked airplanes into the World Trade Center and the Pentagon. After 9/11, Mueller re-configured the FBI to have a major counter-terrorism role in defending the United States. Robert Mueller served as FBI director from 2001-2013; the second longest serving director after J. Edgar Hoover himself.

                        Post FBI and Special Counsel

After leaving the FBI, Mr. Mueller did a brief stint as a professor at Stanford University followed by work for a Washington law firm, he also handled some government work dealing with the Volkswagen emissions settlement during this period. On May 17, 2017 Robert Mueller was appointed as Special Counsel for the Investigation of Russian interference in the 2016 United States election.

Mueller’s investigation quickly began to bear fruit when on October 5, 2017 former Trump foreign policy advisor George Papadopoulos pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI about contacts he had with the Russian government in 2016. Following this, on October 30, 2017 Trump aides Paul Manifort and Rick Gates were charged with a number of violations of US law including money laundering, violation of the Foreign Agents Registration Act, making false and misleading statements and conspiracy against the US. (Both have pleaded not-guilty, and of this writing Manifort is suing Mueller and the Department of Justice.)

On December 1, General Michael T. Flynn, Donald Trump’s former national security advisor entered a guilty plea and made an agreement with the Justice Department for making false testimony about his contacts with former Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak.

                                 Where From Here?

Reports indicate that Donald Trump feels plagued by the Russia investigation and would like it to go away. Characteristically, when his people get into trouble he cuts them loose and claims that they had very little contact with him or his campaign.

There has been much speculation that Donald Trump will fire Special Counsel Robert Mueller. This is not as simple as it seems, and would not be in Trump’s interest, but that may not stop the ever-impulsive former businessman.

According to senate Intelligence Vice-Chair, Mark Warner, (CNBC, 19 December 2017) firing Mr. Mueller would be ” a political disaster for the president and a constitutional crisis.”

But reason (which seems to take as many vacations from the White House as Trump himself) may not hold sway in Trump’s mind as the drumbeat of the Russia investigation gets louder and louder. Already questions of obstruction of justice in the firing of James Comey have been raised, and now bigger questions concerning relations between Deutsche Bank and the Trump organization and between Michael Flynn and Jared Kushner and Russian money are beginning to surface.

Who knows what will happen? One thing we can be sure of however: Robert Mueller and his team will be relentless in the pursuit of the facts, for we hold this truth to be sacred­–no one is above the law.

Please let us know your thought on this topic.

Photo: Wikipedia (Public Domain)

Compiled from Web sources.

Davos 2018 To Be Co-Chaired by 7 Women

                       by David Parmer / Tokyo

Setting a new precedent, the 48th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum to be held in Davos-Klosters, Switzerland from January 23-26, will be chaired by seven prominent women including the IMF’s Christine Lagarde, Norway’s PM Erna Solberg and IBM CEO Ginni Rometty. This dramatic change has been brought about to redress what has been perceived as a lack of female representation at the event.

Began in 1971, the annual event features business leaders, economists, politicians and heads of state and leaders in the field of technology among others. Discussions focus on several agendas including:

  • Global agenda
  • Geopolitical agenda
  • Economic agenda
  • Industry and business agenda
  • Future agenda

According to the WEF, “The 48th World Economic Forum Meeting therefore aims to rededicate leaders from all walks of life to develop a shared narrative to improve the state of the world.” This year’s theme will be, “Creating A Shared Future in a Fractured World.”Attendees are expected to number around 3,000 people including 50 heads of state. The other four co-chairs of the meeting are:

  • Isabella Kocher   Head of Energie.PA
  • Fabiola Gianotti   Head of CERN
  • Chetna Sinha       Founder of Mann Deshi Bank
  • Sharan Burrow    General Secretary TUC

Photo: World Economic Forum via flickr

WEF, Davos 2018

Happy New Year 2018!

                       by David Parmer / Tokyo

The staff and contributors at RG21 would like to wish you a happy, healthy and prosperous 2018! The world has an array of challenges before it including global warming, terrorism, nuclear proliferation and border disputes. On the other hand we have great hopes for continuing breakthroughs in science and technology that will make human life on Earth better for all. Renewable energy sources, electric cars and nano technology hold some of the solutions to the many problems that we all face. Let us each dedicate ourselves to making the world a better place in 2018–a world of peace and happiness for all humankind.

Photo: JERRYANG via flickr

Kiss My Ring

By Bill Lee

Along with the North Korea problem, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is as vexing a geopolitical problem as there could be. Playing to his political base in America, President Trump again threatened to spark global turmoil by declaring that the US government would recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel and move its embassy to the divided city.

Pundits say that the reason for Trump’s decision was to bolster his support among evangelical voters in America. Die-hard evangelicals believe that Jerusalem must be the capital of Israel so that Armageddon may eventually happen and Jesus can return as the true savior accepted finally by the Jews and bring about a millennium of peace.

To me, what was disturbing was Trump’s reaction to the UN resolution declaring Trump’s decision on Jerusalem “null and void.” At a Cabinet meeting, Trump said he would be “watching those votes,” and all but threatened to cut off aid to countries that voted for the resolution and against the United States. US ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley said the Trump administration would be “taking names” of countries supporting the resolution. This shows that Trump and his minions view extending foreign assistance as nothing more than an excuse to buy votes at the UN. One of Trump’s traits is his tyrannical demand for fealty from his subordinates, which means just about everyone. Trump wants to cut foreign aid; China is more than happy to fill the void and provide more aid. Which country will end up benefitting more?

Leave a comment.

Photo by Francisca12av1 via Flickr

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays from RG21!

Well, another year has come and gone, and in a couple weeks we will be ringing in the New Year. We hope that 2017 has been a prosperous and healthy and interesting year for all of our readers.

We would like to thank you for your support of RG21. We hope to see you all back here in 2018, and we hope that old friends will not be forgot!

Photo: Amro via flickr

UNESCO World Heritage Site – Mt. Tai

                         by David Parmer / Tokyo

                                   有眼不识泰山

                            Yǒu yǎn bù shí tài shān

This Chinese proverb can be translated something like: I was standing in front of Mt. Tai and didn’t even know it. It means that one did not recognize something or someone great. In stories like The Water Margin this proverb is often repeated when a character meets a great person or great martial artist and doesn’t recognize them at first.

In reality it would be hard not to recognize the real Mt.Tai in Shandong province for it stands 1545m above sea level and covers and area of 426 square kilometers. Mt. Tai is considered the first among the Five Great Mountains of China. For 3,000 years it has been a place of worship, and human activity on Mt. Tai can be traced by to Paleolithic times.

What’s more, since the Zhou Dynasty in 1,000 BC, 72 emperors have visited Mt. Tai to perform religious ceremonies.There are 22 temples and other structures on Mt. Tai, and the path to the top is composed of 6660 stone steps. In 1987 Mt. Tai was designated as a UNESCO World Heritage Site. The organization recognized the mountain for it unmatched natural beauty as well as its man-made architectural features.

Mt. Tai and its temples and natural beauty are truly impressive, so one would have to be half-asleep, or totally un-aware to be standing in front of such a mountain and not recognize it.

Photo: Mt. Tai via wikipedia

UNESCO Taishan Page

 

 

 

 

 

Armed and Ready to Negotiate?

By Bill Lee

North Korea launched another ICBM on 29 November, this time a Hwasong-15, its most powerful missile to date. Soaring to an altitude of 4,500 kilometers on a lofted trajectory, the missile, if its trajectory were normalized, could have a range of more than 8,000 miles, putting all of the continental United States, as well as the rest of the world’s major cities, within North Korea’s sights. Reaction to the launch in Japan and the United States seemed muted at first until officials figured out the capability of the missile.

The statement put out by the Korean Central News Agency was very telling, however. The statement, purportedly issued by the government, made the amazing claim that the DPRK had basically completed its missile and nuclear development. The Hwasong-15, the statement said, “meets the goal of the completion [boldface mine] of the rocket weaponry system development set by the DPRK.” Kim Jong Un was quoted as flatly saying, “We have finally realized the great historic cause of completing the state nuclear force, the cause of building a rocket power.” Very significantly, the statement also claimed that the missile carried a “super-large heavy warhead,” clearly a reference to a mock nuclear warhead. North Korea has completed its missile and rocket development.

Or has it? The three remaining technical questions are whether the nuclear warhead housing could survive the re-entry into and fall through the Earth’s atmosphere, whether they have an accurate guidance system (seems they do), and whether a nuclear device would actually detonate. To ascertain the last question, an above-ground nuclear test would be necessary.

However, the KCNA statement also struck a conciliatory note and had none of the bluster of past statements. North Korea’s development of a nuclear arsenal is to “defend the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the country from the U.S. imperialists’ nuclear blackmail…and therefore does not pose any threat to any country and region…That is our solemn declaration.” That’s as good as it is going to get from North Korea.

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Photo by BipHoo Company via Flickr

Place your bets — Where will China’s next overseas military base be?

By Bill Lee

For those who like board games like Civilization, a “gamer” would surely love a game built around the development of China’s overseas bases and ports, and a board game creator would probably make a handsome profit for designing such a game. There is one problem, however: China’s rapid and multi-directional moves would soon render the game arrangement obsolete.

Now that China has a functioning military base in Djibouti with an exclusive-use port facility also attached, the game is on among pundits about where China will open its next military base. The base in Djibouti makes perfect sense since much of China’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz and China sends large contingents of UN PKO units to Africa.

China has leased ports or bought the operating rights for several ports around the world. Stretching westward, China is building an artificial island that will have port facilities in the Strait of Malacca, as well as expanding the port of Kuantan on Malaysia’s east coast. Farther south, China’s Landbridge Group acquired a 99-year lease for Darwin port at the northern tip of Australia.

China has also bought the operating rights for Colombo Port City and Hanbantotan port in the southern part of Sri Lanka. China has acquired the operating rights for Gwadar port in Pakistan. And at the doorstep to Europe, the Chinese shipping and port giant Cosco has purchased the operating rights for the port of Piraeus in Greece. Chinese companies also have leases for ports in Panama and Brazil.

So excepting the South China Sea, where might China establish another military, not commercial, base, or a combination of the two? Because it has a strong relationship with Pakistan and sells it billions of dollars worth of military hardware, the Gwadar port area seems a leading candidate, particularly considering Gwadar’s strategic location as a mid-way point to the Middle East and beyond and as the hub of China’s “Silk Road.”

China’s military and economic planners must now be moving pieces around their global game boards looking for the best location for their next overseas military facility. Where will it be?

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Photo by adr1682305408 Thanh via Flickr.

 

Say It Ain’t So — Another Icon Down the Drain

By Bill Lee

The rapidly growing list of powerful and rich men charged with sexual harassment, misconduct, and assault in the United States and elsewhere recently is astounding. Starting with beloved television star Bill Cosby, going on to Fox News giants Roger Ailes and Bill O’Reilly, snaring legendary movie producer Harvey Weinstein, and then recently bringing down the likes of film and theater star Kevin Spacey, liberal politicians Al Franken and John Conyers, ultra-conservative senatorial candidate Roy Moore, television news icon Charlie Rose, and others, the list disregards race, age, political creed, and sexual orientation. The necessary conditions for inclusion on the list seem to require that the harasser/attacker be male and in a position of significant power. And of course heading the list, but not suffering any of the consequences befalling the others, is the sexual predator in the White House, who, according to a recent New York Times report, has suggested, unbelievably, that the Access Hollywood tape in which he boasts about his sexual assaults, is “fake.”

The causes of the sexual predatory behavior are not obscure, but the consequences are not self-evident as they include, according to accounts from victims, (repressed) feelings of trauma and terror. And on a cheaply political level, will all of these revelations reduce the pool of future male political candidate who may be apprehensive that some inappropriate behavior done 20 years previously will come out? That reduction is a good thing, some will argue.

A controversy of sorts was sparked in China by an article in the China Daily in the wake of the allegations against Weinstein that claimed that sexual harassment does not happen in China because of cultural traditions. That caused quick and sharp repudiations of the claim, and the newspaper removed the article.

In the United States, the obtuse may shrug off the tsunami of allegations as part of the unravelling fabric of American culture or of a deeper strand of human nature, but many will see them as a learning moment that should be taken very seriously.

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Photo by Cummings Franck via Flickr