Balloons Over The Border – Propaganda Or Provocation?

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This month has seen the continuation of balloon launches by South Korean  anti DPRK activists from the town of  Paju. After a recent launch a balloon that had lost altitude was fired upon by North Korean forces, prompting a return of fire from the South. The huge balloons reported contain not only propaganda, but sometimes chocolate snacks, U.S. $1 bills and USB drives with South Korean entertainment content. Since the latest incident residents are worried about shelling from the North in retaliation. The government says it can not stop the launches, but will intervene if there is violence between pro and anti forces on the ground. So how will North Korea react in the future? Will they simply protest, or will there be a strong reaction, again sending tensions sky high? Please log in and give us your thoughts.

 

G20 Heads To Brisbane in November 2014

640px-Brisbane_Convention_&_Exhibition_Centre.jpg                                             Brisbane Convention & Exhibition Centre (Wikimedia)

G20 leaders head to Brisbane, Queensland Australia next month for the G20 Leaders’ meeting. From the 15-16 November 2014 leaders and 3,000 delegates from 19 countries and the European Union will meet to discuss a variety of issues important to the world economics (except climate change). The Brisbane Leaders’ Summit is the culmination of Australia’s 2014 presidency of the G20. During the year several sub-conferences were held leading up to Brisbane 2014.

The Leader’s Summit has been held eight times since 2008. The organization has met since 1999, and now welcomes some countries as observers.

Australia’s agenda for 2014 included a focus on:

  • Promoting stronger economic growth
  • Making the global economy more resilient to deal with future shocks

 The G20 Leaders’ Summit will be held at the Brisbane Convention & Exhibition Centre, and is seen as a chance to showcase Brisbane as a world city. Extensive preparations have been made for the event to include tight security during the time of the event.

 G20 2014:

https://www.g20.org/sites/default/files/documents/factsheets/Fact%20sheet-G20%20Leaders%20Summit.pdf 

 

 

How Worried Should We Be About Ebola?

Preparing_to_enter_Ebola_treatment_unit_(2).jpg                                                           (Photo: Wikimedia)

In autumn 2014 we can’t turn on the TV without hearing the latest reports of the Ebola virus epidemic in West Africa and in other parts of the world. The images are frightening, the prognosis for patients seemingly not good. And there is the questions of the possible spread of the disease to other parts of the world like China, Japan, Korea and Southeast Asia. While we are getting a flood of information from the media, are we getting enough information and more importantly, the right information? How worried should we be, and what can we do to prevent the spread of this virus and to protect ourselves. Please log in and give us your thoughts on this question.

China’s Innovaters—Names You Had Better Get To Know

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                         Li Jun Introduces new Xiaomi phone 

                                     by David Parmer

Can China innovate? Will China innovate? Does China innovate? It seems that some critics would rather make up their own answers to these questions than take a look at the evidence on the ground.They blame the government, the school system and the government industries for China’s inability to innovate. Rote learning and government interference are the big problems holding China back they say. What?

The evidence for Chinese innovation is clearly quite to the contrary of what critics are putting out. Current Chinese history is a story of constant and ongoing innovation. Chinese innovation can be seen in areas such as:

  • Telecommunications
  • Mobile technology
  • Online services
  • Biotechnology
  • Medical devices

The current period in China’s development is seen as a movement from imitation to innovation, from producer to designer. It is clear that this transition is not only ongoing but has massive government and industry support. Forbes magazine states that there are no less than 1500 R&D centers set up in China by foreign companies alone, not to mention Chinese institutions. Locally there are an estimated 700 hi-tech incubators, and China’s universities turn out 700,000 engineering graduates annually. The amount of R&D facilities around the city of Hangzhou alone is staggering. Some estimates give a figure of 2% of GDP for the R&D budget nationally.

Recently US Vice President Joe Biden challenged a university graduating class to name one innovative product from China. A very interesting reply came from CNN Money (see below) that named four Chinese organizations that might answer his question:

  • Xiaomi-mobile device maker
  • Tencent-messaging service
  • Huawei-telecom equipment maker
  • B.G.I- Biotech leader

 Much of China’s innovation is directed internally, but Xiaomi and Tencent (We Chat) and Lenovo have already made their presence known in the world market.

In the history of science we have the famous question posed by British scientist Dr. Joseph Needham: Why did China, the birthplace of so many ancient technologies that pre-dated their western counterparts, lose its technological will and edge to Europe and the west? Now the focus for the 21st century and beyond should be: What innovations can we expect from the people who gave us gunpowder, printing and the magnetic compass? 

 Photo: Androidheadlines.com

 CNN Money: http://money.cnn.com/2014/05/29/technology/innovation/biden-china-innovation/

China-Hotbed of Innovation: http://www.innovationmanagement.se/2013/01/09/china-hotbed-of-innovation-for-our-planet-in-the-21st-century/

Another Cold War?

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                                                 Presidents Reagan and Gorbachov

The official dates of the cold war are from 1947-1991, a period of 44 years. If we follow the metaphor, we could see a period of cooling, freezing and then melting over those four decades. Crisis after crisis unfolded. And solutions were found or emerged. Once again we have the makings a potential cold war, with tensions between China and her neighbors and China and the US brewing. All the makings are there, and yet there seems to be a problem. The map of the middle east is being re-drawn and revolution and war rages. In the “old days” perhaps nations could ignore the political realities unfolding in other parts of the world. But not in the wired 21st century. The English poet John Donne wrote “No man is an island.” And in our times no country is an island politically. Events on the other side of the globe affect us all. So while conditions might seem ripe for another few decades of another cold war, political realities half a world away might force all parties to stop, take a look around and see what common interests they have with those they might confront locally. A new cold war? Has the energy already gone out of it? Log in and give us your thoughts.

Where is Mr. Kim?

                           by David Parmer / Tokyo

The “Dear Leader” of North Korea, portly Kim Jong-un has been absent for a month. Rumors suggest that there might have been a coup d’etat, and that Kim has been sidelined or marginalized. Or worse. Time magazine in an October 3, article online speculates that Kim is merely suffering from gout. This might be a likely scenario, as a quick glance at any recent pictures of KJU show a corpulent leader. So is Mr. Kim just sick…or is there a big shakeup North of the border? Log in and give us your best guess.

http://time.com/3460126/kim-jong-un-north-korea-disappeared/

Photo: Rodong Sinmun

 

 

NATO’s Gets 13th Secretary General

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 Jens Stoltenberg (Photo: NATO)

On October 1, 2014 former Norwegian prime minister Jens Stoltenberg (55) became the 13th secretary general of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Born in 1959, Stoltenberg comes from a political family: his father was a politician and ambassador and his mother state secretary. Stoltenberg was a member of Norway’s parliament for 20 years, starting in 1993.

He served as prime minister from 200-2001, and then again from 2005-2013. Stoltenberg came to world attention after the domestic terrorist attack by Andres Behring Breivik which resulted in the death of 77 people. During his second term in office he increased Norway’s military spending, an action urged by US President Barack Obama on all NATO partners.

Analysts say the biggest challenge for the economist/politician will be dealing with Russia, particularly in light of the ongoing Ukraine crisis. Stoltenberg takes over from fellow Scandinavian politician Andres Fogh Rasmussen as 13th NATO secretary general. It is hoped that the number 13 will be a lucky one for him, and for the alliance.

 

 

 

                                                                        

China’s Not-Quite-Perfect 65th Birthday

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On October1, 2014  China will celebrate it’s 65th birthday. 65 years ago, on October 1, 1949  Mao Zedong proclaimed in a resounding voice the founding of the People’s Republic of China. The country had much to celebrate: the end of a bloody civil war, the end of centuries of foreign domination and intervention and the end of the warlords. The following 65 years have seen massive changes and improvements as well as turbulent times. But China has clearly emerged as a world power with vast political and military might, and its own space program. But at 65 China still has many problems. Perhaps the biggest is in its dealings with its minorities. The question is how can China deal with Tibet, Xinjiang and now Hong Kong? How can people’s expectations be matched with the realities of 21st century politics? How can China continue to grow and adapt and be an all-inclusive society providing peace, security and freedom to all of its peoples? A big question for the leaders who will again go to Tiananmen Square on October 1. Log in and post your comments.

RG 21 Story Updates

                                               Jack Ma and Alibaba IPO

In our June 8, 2013 post we reported on Jack Ma and Internet e-commerce giant Alibaba. At the end of the post we mentioned that there were rumors of an IPO (Initial Public Offering)  by 2015. The IPO happened in September 2014, and was the largest IPO ever for the New York Stock Exchange. The selling price of shares was around $68.00, but quickly rose to a high of $93.89. The IPO raised $25 billion, incidentally making Jack Ma the richest man in China. The RG21 post is here:

 http://research-group21.com/admin/mt.cgi?__mode=view&_type=entry&blog_id=3&id=47

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                                                Alibaba’s Jack Ma (Photo: china.org.cn)

                

                                                   US and Indian Mars Missions

On August 3, 2014 we reported about the US and India Mars missions. The Indian Mars Orbiter Mission (MOM) Mangalyann was scheduled to enter Mars orbit on September 24, 2014 preceded by the NASA Maven vehicle on September 21, 2014. Both vehicles arrived on time and are now orbiting Mars collecting valuable data. Congratulations are in order for both NASA and India’s ISRO. Well done!

The RG21 post for August 3, 2014 is here: 

http://research-group21.com/admin/mt.cgi?__mode=view&_type=entry&blog_id=3&id=180

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                                              NASA Maven Orbiter (NASA)


Mars_Orbiter_Mission_-_India_-_ArtistsConcept.jpg                                                   India Magalyaan Orbiter ( ISRO)

                                               

                                                India-China Border Standoff

And finally, on July 20, 2013, RG21 reported on India’s plan to stand up a 45,000-man strike force by 2020 to deal protect its border interests with China. In the same post we also mentioned a three-week standoff in April 2013 in the Ladak Plateau region that had been settled peaceably. The Ladak Plateau area was again in the news in September 2014. On September 8, Indian troops erected an observation post in the region. China retaliated by starting construction of a road, which the Indians considered well within their territory. Another standoff ensued. Troop strength is estimated at about 800 for the Chinese and 1500 for the Indian side. Again, both sides agreed to a peaceful solution, and a pull back was scheduled for September 26, 2014. Clearly tensions will remain along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) and in the Ladak region. RG21 will continue to monitor developments in the region. RG21post on India-China border tensions here:

http://research-group21.com/admin/mt.cgi?__mode=view&_type=entry&blog_id=3&id=59

13nw.jpg                                                            Indian Mountain Troops (Defense Radar.com)

 

Piracy: Crime or Terrorism or Both?

307px-Pyle_pirate_handsome.jpg                         Captain Scarfield  (Howard Pyle’s Book of Pirates 1921)

It is strange that piracy once almost extinct in the 19th and 20th centuries, has come back to haunt us in the 21st century. Theft, kidnapping and more on the high seas or costal waters is again part of the landscape. The most common instances of piracy are found around Somalia in Africa and the area around the Malacca strait. Twenty countries in Southeast Asia  have joined in an anti-piracy coalition, while others have cooperated to create safe maritime passage around Africa. The question is are the developed nations doing enough? Can piracy or the causes of piracy be eliminated?  Do we need to call piracy a form of terrorism and bring all our resources to bear, or are current efforts enough? Please log in and let us know your opinion on this matter.