Iran Nuclear Talks – What the World Needs Now

18073351520_835a84548d_z.jpg   U.S. Sec. of State Kerry and Iran FM Zarif 30 May 2015

                          ( Photo: U.S. State via flickr)

The Iran nuclear talks resumed on Saturday, May 30 in Geneva with less than a month to go to the deadline of June 30 for the completion of a deal. The P5+1 talks have made steady progress, but the question is can they hit the target deadline? There seems to be two sticking points, one, the time-frame for lifting sanctions, and the other inspection of Iranian nuclear facilities, specifically military facilities. The consensus seems to be that there is a good chance of success for the talks, but that they might exceed the deadline.

 Hard-liners in the West and in Iran remain mistrustful about the scope and implementation of the deal. Some critics in the West seem to think that the P5+1 negotiators will be tricked by Iran, and will “give away the store” to get a deal. This is probably not a very realistic scenario, but makes good fodder for domestic consumption. While there will probably be an “imperfect” deal, with each side not getting everything it wants, the overall good for all concerned of getting a deal that prevents militarization of Iran’s nuclear program and lifts sanctions, bringing Iran back into the mainstream of the international community should be obvious. What are your thoughts on this question? Please log in and let us know.

 

Joe Biden Lays Out Tough US Policy at Annapolis

 

                                     by David Parmer

The U.S. Vice President’s speech at the U.S. Naval Academy graduation on May 22 was pure Biden. The Vice President engaged his audience as only a seasoned politician can do. In just over 25 minutes he made remarks appropriate to the occasion, acknowledged dignitaries and treated all to samples of the Biden wit and humor. That’s not to say that the speech lacked gravitas; he praised the hard work of the graduates and wished them well in their chosen careers in the U.S. Navy or U.S. Marine Corps, and explained how much the country needs them. It was a fine commencement speech indeed.

However, what could easily be overlooked with the emphasis on humor and ceremony was the tough policy speech that was wrapped in that framework. Mr. Biden laid out U.S. foreign policy clearly and bluntly. He explained that the U.S. was not only a world power, but a Pacific power, and that the U.S. had been active in the Pacific for the past 60 years and would continue to be so. He pointed the finger at China for its actions in the South China Sea, and criticized China’s unilateral policy in the area. And in a strong statement, after enumerating U.S. naval power, he said “…woe betide the foe who decides to challenge the United States of America or our Navy.” And to further make his point he said: “America’s command of the oceans is the measure and the symbol of our diplomatic and military primacy in the world.”

In 1900, U.S. President Teddy Roosevelt wrote: “Speak softly and carry a big stick; you will go far.” Roosevelt’s America had a strong navy and was not afraid to use it. It seems as if on May 22, Vice President Biden was channeling the spirit of Teddy Roosevelt to a receptive audience of sailors and marines.

Just down the road is the U.S. presidential election in 2016. Mr. Biden has not ruled out seeking the nomination. And, Mr. Biden’s speech at the U.S. Naval Academy did not seem Vice Presidential, but rather more Presidential. He laid out a bold vision of American power in this century and beyond. Perhaps Joe Biden is not ready to sail off into the sunset just yet. Judged by his Annapolis speech, it would seem that that is the case.

 

 Excerpts from Vice President Biden’s Speech at Annapolis on May 22, 2015

U.S. foreign policy is rebalancing toward the vast potential of the Asia Pacific region. But we can’t succeed if you don’t show up. That’s why 60 percent of the United States Naval forces will be stationed in the Asia Pacific by 2020 — P-8s, Zumwalt-class destroyers, littoral combat ships, forward-deployed forces, Marines in Darwin — all and many more are headed to the Pacific, and so are many of you. And it matters — because Pacific peace and prosperity, to a great extent, has depended on and will continue to depend on U.S. Naval power, just as it has for the past 60 years.

In the disputed waters of the South China Sea, the United States does not privilege the claims of one nation over another. But we do — unapologetically — stand up for the equitable and peaceful resolution of disputes and for the freedom of navigation.

And today, these principles are being tested by Chinese activities in the South China Sea. They’re building airstrips –the placing of oil rigs, the imposition of unilateral bans on fishing in disputed territories, the declaration of air-defense zones, the reclamation of land, which other countries are doing, but not nearly on the massive scale the Chinese are doing.

We will look to you to guarantee our strategic nuclear deterrence serving in Navy ballistic missile submarines, the most secure and survivable element of our nuclear triad. From the offensive firepower of the Marine Expeditionary Force to our Carrier strike forces to our multi-nation ballistic missile defense capable ships [sic], woe betide the foe who decides to challenge the United States of America or our Navy.

America’s command of the oceans is the measure and the symbol of our diplomatic and military primacy in the world. As George Washington remarked during the Revolutionary War, “It follows then as certain as that night succeeds day that without a decisive naval force we can do nothing definitive. And with it, everything honorable and glorious.” That hasn’t changed one single bit.

https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2015/05/22/commencement-address-vice-president-united-states-naval-academy

Photo: U.S. Naval Academy (public domain) via flickr

 

 

 

 

“Summer Davos” in Dalian, China Sept. 9-11, 2015


17246013898_39be214829_z.jpg                                   (Photo: WEF 2015 Mexico)

The 9th Annual Meeting of the New Champions – Global Meeting on Innovation, Science and Technology will take place in Dalian this coming September. Known as the “Summer Davos” the meeting will host more than 1500 participants  from 90 countries representing such areas business, government research and media. This year’s theme will be “Charting a new Course for Growth.” The meeting will bring together :

  • Tech pioneers
  • Public figures
  • Young global leaders
  • Social entrepreneurs

In this year’s meeting, these leaders and thinkers will examine the entrepreneurial response to the question of lower growth since the world financial crisis.

For a complete description visit the Annual Meeting of the New Champions website:

http://www.weforum.org/events/annual-meeting-new-champions-2015

 

 

AIIB Update – The Ship Has Sailed

Daily Coin.jpg

                                           (Photo: Daily Coin)

March 31, 2015 was the closing day for countries to apply to be founding members of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. The U.S. and Japan were not on board. Fifty-seven other nations including some staunch U.S. allies were on board. It was reported that the Chinese themselves were surprised by the interest in the project. There is a huge demand for capital for infrastructure in Asia, and the World Bank and Asian Development Bank have not kept up with this demand in terms of loans, so China stepped in to fill the gap, and now there is the AIIB. Work is underway to create the launch of the new bank this year and discussions on the charter and the hiring of competent specialists to fill the many posts available are ongoing. Japan and the U.S. are the only two major world powers who have not joined the AIIB as founding members. So, what will happen in the near future?  Will Japan look out for its own interests and join the bank, or will Japan stand by its American allay and refuse to join? What do you think? Please log in and give us your thoughts on this matter.

 

 

Kim to Stay Home and Miss Russian WWII Celebration.

Kim_JOng-Un_2942995b.jpg                                                

                                     by David Parmer / Tokyo

The New York Times reported on April 30, that the DPRK Leader Kim Jong-un will not attend Russian celebrations to mark the victory over Nazi Germany on May 9. Mr. Kim hasn’t travelled abroad since taking power after his father’s death. The question is why will he sit this one out? One thing that comes to mind is that he fears internal disorder in his absence, or even a coup d’état. There could be a million different reasons for his not going to Moscow. What do you think might be a good one? Please log in and give us your thoughts on this latest mystery surrounding the man of mystery.

 

Flying With LCC – Is it Safe?

LCC Scoot.jpg                                                    LCC Scoot (Wiki)

Recently there have been several airline crashes and incidents involving Low Cost Carriers, or LCCs. The question is: are LCCs less safe than traditional carriers? The answer seems to be mixed, or as they say in Japan: case by case. As RG21 reported in a previous post, LCCs are booming in Asia with airlines buying hundreds of aircraft as a time. In most countries LCCs are required to maintain the same safety standards as traditional carriers. Aviation writers also point out that LCCs cut down on customer comfort and frills, but match their big brothers for safety. So, this week’s question: Do you fly LCCs? And do you feel safe flying LCCs? Please log in and give us your thoughts.

 

10 Safest LCC:

http://www.businessinsider.com/10-safest-low-cost-airlines-in-the-world-2015-1

LCC Safety:

http://www.ibtimes.com/are-low-cost-airlines-less-safe-their-full-service-counterparts-1859548

Tokyo 2020 Olympics Update (#1)

Zaha-Hadid-New-National-Stadium-Tokyo.jpg                                          (Olympic Stadium Tokyo 2020 Z. Hadid Architects)

The 2020 Summer Olympic Games are on track and moving forward. Here are a few links to stories of interest about the games as of April, 2015.

 Shibuya Ward hopes to redevelop Miyashita Park in time for Olympics. Hurdles include resettling homeless, corporate sponsorship and zoning regulations.

http://www.japantimes.co.jp/community/2015/04/01/issues/battle-shibuya-park-heats-tokyo-olympics-loom/#.VS-jRFwdL8s

 Renowned golf course architect Tom Fazio to re-design Tokyo course for Olympics.

http://www.golf.com/tour-and-news/tom-fazio-chosen-redesign-tokyos-kasumigaseki-course-2020-olympics

Former PM Mori resigns from Japan Rugby Football Union post due to ill health, but will stay on with Tokyo Olympics organizing committee

http://www.japantimes.co.jp/sports/2015/04/06/more-sports/rugby/tokyo-2020-chief-mori-step-jrfu-president/#.VS-mV1wdL8s

BBC Reports on NHK Super-8K technology for 2020 games

http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-29789468

 Do you have any thoughts on the 220 Tokyo games? Log in a let us know what’s on your mind.

 

 

 

 

70th Anniversary of WWII – How Should Japan Respond?

marco_polo_bridge_lugouqiao74590977df9a2cd03118.jpg          Marco Polo Bridge Outside Beijing Site of 7/71937 Incident 

This year marks the 70th anniversary of the end of WWII. China plans to hold a huge military parade to make the occasion, possibly in September. In a ceremony in Nanjing to mark the 77th anniversary of the invasion of the city in December 2014, China’s President Xi Jinping said: “We should not bear hatred against an entire nation just because a small minority of militarists launched agressive wars.” (Xinhua)

The big question is how Japan will respond to this anniversary.  On the 50th anniversary in 1995, Prime Minister Tomiichi Murayama expressed “deep remorse” over Japan’s wartime actions. The question is how will Prime Minister Abe handle this question? Is there any way he can address it that is correct and acknowledges the concerns of Japan’s neighbors even 70 years after the fact? Does Mr. Abe have the skill and wisdom to do the right thing? Please log in and post your thoughts here.

Japan Times Articles

http://www.japantimes.co.jp/tag/wwii-70th-anniversary/

Photo: Culture China. com

Lee Kwan Yew—The Giant of Singapore Passes Away

leekuanyew-listening.jpg
 Singapore’s first Prime Minister, Mr. Lee Kwan Yew passed away on Monday, March 23, 2015. Mr. Lee was 91 years old. Mr. Lee was one of the giants of the post-war period. It was his vision and strength that set the direction for the miracle that is the Singapore of today. Mr. Lee knew his own mind and spoke his ideas forcefully. Although Mr. Lee had been retired for decades, his presence was still felt in the Republic. This year marks the 50th anniversary of the founding of the country. Surely his name and legacy will be mentioned again and again during the celebrations this summer. This week’s question then is: Who do you think were the great leaders of the post-war period? Please log in and give us your thoughts.

Lee Kwan Yu Obit

http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/singapore-s-first-prime/1720740.html

RG21: ASEAN Member-Singapore

http://research-group21.com/admin/mt.cgi?__mode=view&_type=entry&blog_id=3&id=209

China Will Not Tighten Up on Hong Kong – Premier Li Keqiang

2015031512540384917.jpg China’s CCTV reported on March 15th that Premier Li Keqiang said at a press conference in Beijing that China will not tighten its policy on Hong Kong, but will respect the one-country, two systems which is written in to the Basic Law. And he said that Hong Kong will play an important role in China’s reform and opening up. Does this mean the Beijing government does not expect any more Occupy-type demonstrations in the future? Has Universal Suffrage as promoted by the National People’s Congress satisfied the various demands in Hong Kong?  And will there be more protests against the NPC’s interpretation of the nominating process? What is Beijing’s strategy for the future of Hong Kong?  Please log in and give us your thoughts on this matter.

 Full CCTV report (English)

http://english.cntv.cn/2015/03/15/ARTI1426395073281819.shtml